← Bookmakers
suprabets
Brier Score
0.6422
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
7.16%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4218 | 30 |
| Draw | 0.9389 | 16 |
| Away win | 0.7233 | 23 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| B1 |
0.6833 |
7.07% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.5068 |
6.99% |
11 |
| F1 |
0.8133 |
7.55% |
10 |
| D1 |
0.7116 |
5.39% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.516 |
7.1% |
9 |
| AUT |
0.6618 |
9.94% |
6 |
| DNK |
0.5477 |
7.12% |
6 |