← Bookmakers
codere_it
Brier Score
0.5917
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
6.97%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4143 | 105 |
| Draw | 0.9128 | 44 |
| Away win | 0.6632 | 63 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| BRA |
0.5792 |
6.0% |
30 |
| SP2 |
0.576 |
9.95% |
29 |
| SP1 |
0.5725 |
5.12% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5462 |
10.0% |
26 |
| E0 |
0.65 |
5.1% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6029 |
4.99% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6169 |
9.14% |
20 |
| T1 |
0.6179 |
5.96% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.544 |
5.95% |
9 |
| D1 |
0.7106 |
4.98% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5159 |
6.07% |
9 |