← Bookmakers
everygame
Brier Score
0.6079
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
7.29%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4196 | 135 |
| Draw | 0.8929 | 64 |
| Away win | 0.6967 | 81 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5833 |
7.9% |
44 |
| BRA |
0.5809 |
7.41% |
30 |
| SP1 |
0.5772 |
5.5% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5438 |
10.12% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6692 |
6.98% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.6516 |
5.78% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6022 |
6.25% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.7103 |
6.88% |
15 |
| F1 |
0.8133 |
7.75% |
10 |
| D1 |
0.7128 |
5.51% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5169 |
7.11% |
9 |
| P1 |
0.4944 |
7.03% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6238 |
7.02% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.5446 |
7.19% |
9 |
| DNK |
0.5465 |
7.33% |
6 |
| MEX |
0.6507 |
12.01% |
6 |
| ARG |
0.5898 |
7.24% |
5 |