← Bookmakers
tipico_de
Brier Score
0.603
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
7.7%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4116 | 138 |
| Draw | 0.9046 | 66 |
| Away win | 0.6761 | 89 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5802 |
8.75% |
44 |
| SP2 |
0.5972 |
8.75% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.5957 |
8.72% |
29 |
| SP1 |
0.5751 |
6.01% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5177 |
8.73% |
23 |
| SWE |
0.682 |
8.67% |
21 |
| E0 |
0.6564 |
6.06% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6031 |
6.02% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6147 |
8.73% |
20 |
| F1 |
0.8214 |
7.04% |
10 |
| N1 |
0.5407 |
7.01% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6275 |
7.03% |
9 |
| P1 |
0.4939 |
6.96% |
9 |
| D1 |
0.7215 |
5.26% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5122 |
6.08% |
9 |