← Bookmakers
williamhill
Brier Score
0.6029
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
9.04%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.421 | 154 |
| Draw | 0.8752 | 72 |
| Away win | 0.6915 | 95 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5816 |
9.45% |
44 |
| SP2 |
0.6015 |
9.95% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.5839 |
9.36% |
30 |
| SP1 |
0.5737 |
7.52% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5467 |
9.27% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.666 |
9.43% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.652 |
7.46% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6025 |
7.9% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.6767 |
9.23% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.521 |
9.59% |
13 |
| F1 |
0.8034 |
8.51% |
10 |
| D1 |
0.7035 |
7.67% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5222 |
9.04% |
9 |
| P1 |
0.4909 |
8.62% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.5362 |
9.42% |
9 |
| AUT |
0.6696 |
9.59% |
6 |
| DNK |
0.5532 |
9.69% |
6 |
| MEX |
0.6464 |
12.9% |
6 |