← Bookmakers
betclic_fr
Brier Score
0.6033
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
8.5%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4106 | 168 |
| Draw | 0.8968 | 81 |
| Away win | 0.6859 | 104 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5794 |
11.18% |
42 |
| SP2 |
0.5953 |
9.84% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.5766 |
9.94% |
30 |
| SP1 |
0.5727 |
3.99% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5471 |
9.69% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6729 |
10.11% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.6533 |
3.96% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6045 |
4.58% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6173 |
11.13% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.6838 |
7.78% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.5093 |
9.96% |
13 |
| F1 |
0.8144 |
3.68% |
10 |
| P1 |
0.4935 |
5.39% |
9 |
| D1 |
0.7113 |
3.93% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5081 |
10.22% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.5418 |
8.37% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6157 |
8.02% |
9 |
| MEX |
0.6589 |
13.32% |
6 |
| AUT |
0.6542 |
9.9% |
6 |
| DNK |
0.5447 |
13.02% |
6 |
| ARG |
0.5922 |
10.39% |
5 |