← Bookmakers
coolbet
Brier Score
0.6043
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
4.4%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4107 | 166 |
| Draw | 0.9025 | 80 |
| Away win | 0.684 | 104 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5816 |
4.96% |
44 |
| SP2 |
0.5995 |
4.99% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.583 |
5.06% |
30 |
| SP1 |
0.576 |
3.05% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5409 |
3.0% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6679 |
4.04% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.6523 |
2.08% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.602 |
3.02% |
20 |
| POL |
0.612 |
5.01% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.6834 |
6.98% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.5097 |
5.09% |
13 |
| F1 |
0.8199 |
3.37% |
10 |
| P1 |
0.4948 |
5.12% |
9 |
| D1 |
0.7171 |
3.12% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5122 |
4.9% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.5401 |
5.11% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.623 |
5.13% |
9 |
| MEX |
0.6632 |
5.09% |
6 |
| AUT |
0.663 |
6.96% |
6 |
| DNK |
0.5491 |
5.2% |
6 |