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nordicbet
Brier Score
0.6042
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
6.33%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4084 | 163 |
| Draw | 0.8904 | 82 |
| Away win | 0.6854 | 104 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5814 |
5.12% |
44 |
| SP2 |
0.5975 |
8.18% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.5776 |
7.23% |
30 |
| NOR |
0.5458 |
5.84% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6759 |
7.12% |
25 |
| SP1 |
0.55 |
5.21% |
23 |
| E0 |
0.6498 |
4.27% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6026 |
5.18% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6144 |
8.2% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.681 |
6.43% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.5152 |
5.89% |
11 |
| F1 |
0.8195 |
5.34% |
10 |
| D1 |
0.7121 |
5.23% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5165 |
8.08% |
9 |
| P1 |
0.5107 |
7.18% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6318 |
7.54% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.5455 |
5.46% |
9 |
| AUT |
0.6615 |
7.2% |
6 |
| DNK |
0.5453 |
6.34% |
6 |
| MEX |
0.6572 |
6.97% |
6 |
| ARG |
0.591 |
6.18% |
5 |