← Bookmakers
pmu_fr
Brier Score
0.6033
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
11.97%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4111 | 165 |
| Draw | 0.8966 | 79 |
| Away win | 0.6862 | 103 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5819 |
9.96% |
44 |
| SP2 |
0.5959 |
13.68% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.5763 |
9.9% |
30 |
| SP1 |
0.5706 |
10.22% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5523 |
13.86% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6773 |
16.83% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.6511 |
10.1% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.602 |
10.2% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6233 |
13.75% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.6762 |
12.99% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.497 |
13.71% |
11 |
| F1 |
0.8116 |
8.47% |
10 |
| D1 |
0.6957 |
10.47% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5098 |
13.85% |
9 |
| P1 |
0.4924 |
10.0% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6112 |
10.02% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.5445 |
12.79% |
9 |
| DNK |
0.5727 |
13.72% |
6 |
| MEX |
0.6614 |
13.91% |
6 |
| AUT |
0.6123 |
13.96% |
5 |