← Bookmakers
unibet_nl
Brier Score
0.6036
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
6.05%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4086 | 164 |
| Draw | 0.9062 | 77 |
| Away win | 0.6881 | 103 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5816 |
6.48% |
44 |
| BRA |
0.5762 |
6.46% |
30 |
| SP2 |
0.592 |
6.35% |
30 |
| SP1 |
0.5686 |
3.31% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.552 |
7.62% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6783 |
8.8% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.6564 |
2.51% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6054 |
2.22% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6218 |
6.58% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.6781 |
7.39% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.4961 |
8.12% |
11 |
| F1 |
0.8185 |
4.94% |
10 |
| D1 |
0.7021 |
4.25% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5103 |
7.64% |
9 |
| P1 |
0.4915 |
8.15% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6122 |
7.59% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.543 |
3.32% |
9 |
| DNK |
0.5709 |
6.54% |
6 |
| MEX |
0.6611 |
7.76% |
6 |
| AUT |
0.6113 |
8.19% |
5 |