← Bookmakers
winamax_de
Brier Score
0.6055
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
8.99%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4122 | 166 |
| Draw | 0.9086 | 82 |
| Away win | 0.6746 | 105 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5804 |
10.4% |
44 |
| SP2 |
0.5972 |
9.84% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.5774 |
10.35% |
30 |
| NOR |
0.5469 |
9.82% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6744 |
9.99% |
25 |
| SP1 |
0.5915 |
6.89% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.6521 |
6.81% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6013 |
6.69% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6176 |
10.12% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.6865 |
8.81% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.5202 |
9.87% |
13 |
| F1 |
0.8112 |
6.9% |
10 |
| D1 |
0.7137 |
4.82% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5123 |
6.09% |
9 |
| P1 |
0.4962 |
8.56% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.5456 |
8.87% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6211 |
8.97% |
9 |
| AUT |
0.6481 |
10.13% |
6 |
| DNK |
0.5404 |
10.07% |
6 |
| MEX |
0.6526 |
10.3% |
6 |
| ARG |
0.5956 |
9.72% |
5 |