← Bookmakers
winamax_fr
Brier Score
0.6026
lower = sharper
Avg Margin
12.23%
closing odds
Calibration Curve
Each point: games where this book predicted X% chance — how often did that outcome actually happen?
Dots on the diagonal = perfectly calibrated. Above = underestimating, below = overestimating.
By Outcome Type
| Outcome | Brier Score | Games |
|---|
| Home win | 0.4149 | 168 |
| Draw | 0.9028 | 80 |
| Away win | 0.6749 | 104 |
By League
| League | Brier Score | Avg Margin | Games |
|---|
| USA |
0.5694 |
14.4% |
41 |
| SP2 |
0.5956 |
12.9% |
33 |
| BRA |
0.5798 |
14.39% |
30 |
| SP1 |
0.5715 |
8.89% |
27 |
| NOR |
0.5462 |
13.78% |
26 |
| SWE |
0.6717 |
14.08% |
25 |
| E0 |
0.6508 |
8.72% |
21 |
| I1 |
0.6019 |
8.9% |
20 |
| POL |
0.6182 |
14.27% |
20 |
| B1 |
0.684 |
10.8% |
18 |
| G1 |
0.5216 |
13.73% |
13 |
| F1 |
0.8097 |
8.02% |
10 |
| P1 |
0.4962 |
10.39% |
9 |
| D1 |
0.7112 |
8.1% |
9 |
| D2 |
0.5157 |
13.93% |
9 |
| N1 |
0.544 |
10.8% |
9 |
| T1 |
0.6194 |
10.8% |
9 |
| MEX |
0.6512 |
14.22% |
6 |
| AUT |
0.6486 |
14.05% |
6 |
| DNK |
0.5463 |
13.89% |
6 |
| ARG |
0.5965 |
13.66% |
5 |